So far, the Democrat candidate field has caused a lot of dust, but a real horse race has yet to develop.
The last time I blogged on this subject was over three months ago. Since then, we have all been watching the Democrats eat each other, burn their crops, and pander to man and beast. Promises range from simple things like ending plastic bags to multi-trillion dollar revamps of the nation’s economy and explicitly terminating the US Constitution.
Whatever it takes seems to be their motto. What is fifteen or thirty trillion dollars to the richest (and most indebted) country in the world? To them it doesn’t matter.
All that matters is their position in the polls. The higher the position, the more money they can raise, and the better chance of getting the nomination. Of course, some may be really running for the VP position.
This is where they stand in the latest Real Clear Politics Averages.
Biden – 28.0%
Sanders – 16.0%
Warren – 15.4%
Harris – 7.4%
Buttigieg – 5.0%
O’Rourke – 3.0%
The most significant difference in the last three months is that Elizabeth Warren has moved up sharply. The top six candidates have about 3/4 of the overall vote potential, and I have not counted the remaining ones.
After several so-called debates, Tulsi Gabbard destroyed Kamala Harris, Warren is gaining ground on Sanders with whom she shares the same appeal, and the Buttigieg and under gang are still on the bottom. I believe it is here that some are running for the Vice President slot.
What is this telling us? We all know that Joe Biden has some real problems with his mental acuity and physical strength. He is also the one candidate that the rank and file Democrats feel can win against Donald Trump.
Right now, the Democrats are damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. If they run Biden it is likely that Trump will run circles around him in debates. If they run anyone else the Democrats run a huge risk of showing their real face, socialist dogma and anti-American ideas of trashing the US constitution.
In the next few months anything can happen. Some unanticipated, but extremely popular person could enter the field and seize the nomination. Lacking that, things don’t look good for the Dems.