Category: politics

Democrat Primary Season: Is It Really A Horse Race?

So far, the Democrat candidate field has caused a lot of dust, but a real horse race has yet to develop.

The last time I blogged on this subject was over three months ago. Since then, we have all been watching the Democrats eat each other, burn their crops, and pander to man and beast. Promises range from simple things like ending plastic bags to multi-trillion dollar revamps of the nation’s economy and explicitly terminating the US Constitution.

Whatever it  takes seems to be their motto. What is fifteen or thirty trillion dollars to the richest (and most indebted) country in the world? To them it doesn’t matter.

All that matters is their position in the polls. The higher the position, the more money they can raise, and the better chance of getting the nomination. Of course, some may be really running for the VP position.

This is where they stand in the latest Real Clear Politics Averages.

Biden – 28.0%

Sanders – 16.0%

Warren – 15.4%

Harris – 7.4%

Buttigieg – 5.0%

O’Rourke – 3.0%

The most significant difference in the last three months is that Elizabeth Warren has moved up sharply. The top six candidates have about 3/4 of the overall vote potential, and I have not counted the remaining ones.

After several so-called debates, Tulsi Gabbard destroyed Kamala Harris, Warren is gaining ground on Sanders with whom she shares the same appeal, and the Buttigieg and under gang are still on the bottom. I believe it is here that some are running for the Vice President slot.

What is this telling us? We all know that Joe Biden has some real problems with his mental acuity and physical strength. He is also the one candidate that the rank and file Democrats feel can win against Donald Trump.

Right now, the Democrats are damned if they do, and damned if they don’t. If they run Biden it is likely that Trump will run circles around him in debates. If they run anyone else the Democrats run a huge risk of showing their real face, socialist dogma and anti-American ideas of trashing the US constitution.

In the next few months anything can happen. Some unanticipated, but extremely popular person could enter the field and seize the nomination.  Lacking that, things don’t look good for the Dems.

 

The Democrat Horse Race Begins

Former Vice President Joe Biden has finally made his official entry into the Democrat presidential primary race. There are nineteen other Democrat luminaries running, and Biden makes number twenty. The interesting thing is that the polls have Biden in a substantial lead over all the other candidates.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls have Biden at 29, Sanders at 23, Harris at 8.3, and Buttigieg at 7.5. Senator Elizabeth Warren is coming in fifth at 6.5, and the rest of the field is lower than that. The race sets Biden and Sanders as the early strong candidates, with Kamala Harris and Pete Buttigieg running a close third and fourth.

The weird thing about this group is that the Democrat party has declared that anybody white is bad. So, how does that square with two old, fossilized white men being the most popular entrants in the primaries? Oh, yeah, they are of the male gender, too.  The fourth candidate is a white, gay man. Gay doesn’t buy him any points, anymore. Skin color is the most important factor in Democrat politics.

The Democrat’s nod to victims of color are Kamala Harris, Senator from California, and Senator Cory Spartacus Booker from New Jersey. Booker’s campaign is in the ditch, and will probably stay there. It surely looks like there are heaping helpings of hypocrisy in the Democrat Party.

If the Dems stick to their announced values, Kamala should be a shoo-in for the Presidential nomination. I don’t think she has the experience or smarts to get there, but at this point it is hard to count anyone out except for Robert Beto O’Rourke and Senator Elizabeth Pocahantas Warren. I believed they are political zombies at this point even though they are in the top seven in the polls.

The DNC says there will be a total of twelve primary debates, with the first in June of 2019. As of today, seven of the candidates have qualified with both donation support and public poll standing for the debates. Eight candidates have qualified with only one criterion, and five have not made the grade in either to polls or number of donors.

The DNC will make sure all twenty will be in the first debate on two consecutive nights in June. Only after the first two or three debates will the large field of competitors start to sort itself out.

If Pete Buttigieg can make it past the first two debates with increasing support and financing, he may very well pull ahead of Kamala Harris, putting him in third place. At that point he has to hope that one of the first two kills off the other. I feel that Sanders can sink Biden. Buttigieg may have a chance to take it all if he can make a significant move early in the series of debates.

My speculation is that come 2020, the top six candidates will be Sanders, Biden, Buttigieg, Harris, possibly Elizabeth Warren, with a dark horse coming in sixth place. Maybe Andrew Yang can be that dark horse, but he is Asian and therefore not among the chosen set of victims to lead the party of collective ignorance.

Most of the candidates are not in the running. Their raison d’etre is to establish notoriety for future political positioning.

Who do you think will be around for the home stretch?

Mayor Pete – The Next Democrat Presidential Nominee?

South Bend Indiana Mayor, Pete Buttigieg has entered the race for the Democrat Presidential nomination for the 2020 elections. His name recognition has gone from about zero to great in just a couple of weeks. How did he do it?

Mayor Pete’s only claim to fame is that he is gay. Nobody cares, anymore, if you are gay or living with a same sex partner. Gay is very common.

To get attention, he picked a fight with Vice President Pence over religion.  Pence has never said anything derogatory about Buttigieg, but that doesn’t keep Pete from showing his true Democrat colors. He lied.

That’s a true blue Democrat. When you have nothing to say, tell a lie. Throwing mud at Pence got Buttigieg off to a fast start, and now he is the darling of the Democrat Party. The field of Democrat contestants is mediocre. Mayor Pete has charisma, a magnetic charm that we saw in JFK, and Barack Obama. The only strike against him is that he is white, irrational as that may be.

Charisma is what makes Buttigieg dangerous. He seems to have some common sense, but I will not bet our country on that idea. At the core, I believe Buttigieg is no better than any of the haters in the Democrat Party.

Pete Buttigieg is a hater. His unwarranted and false accusations made against the Vice President presage that fact. He will be a hater with the best, so watch out. Mayor Pete has a great chance of being the next presidential nominee.

What do you think?

 

 

 

The New Reality Of Collusion

The Russian collusion hoax has come to an end in spite what the dedicated left-wing politicians and journalists say. With the summary of the Mueller report being announced, the game is now totally different.

Reality has changed.

Like science, once you bet on one version you will inevitably be disappointed in your personal reality. Scientific conclusions change every day. That’s why so-called climate change panic has proven to be junk science. All their supporting data is old, and their forecasts are based on guesses, not real data.

The  Mueller report has changed the reality for the Democrat party. Even though they never had a case for President Trump’s proposed collusion, this didn’t stop them because they had the dominant media outlets on their side. It was all lies.

The Democrat position was lies all the way down. It was lies about all the Trump meetings based on circular reporting based on a so-called dossier that the Democrats bought from the Russians. The whole house of cards has now collapsed.

Where do things go from here? According to liars like Rep Adam Schiff and Eric Swalwell there will be no change in the Democrat messaging. If they continue to support this house of cards the Democrat party will become extinct. Defeat is certainly in their future.

I don’t think Nancy Pelosi will let that happen. Strangely enough, she is the adult in the room to keep the little kids from messing all their diapers on the collusion nonsense. It feels strange to say this, but Nancy Pelosi is the only person who can save the Democrats from themselves.

In the meantime some Republicans are planning payback, but Republicans have never been very good in a street fight. That’s where President Trump comes in. He is the best tool to keep defeating the anti-American Democrats, and the best hope for our nation and constitution.

 

 

Let Ocasio-Cortez Keep Talking

One of the funniest things President Donald Trump said in his speech at CPAC was that we should encourage the Democrats talk more and more about their brilliant Green New Deal. He wants them to keep talking about it because they are digging a huge political hole, and wants them to keep digging.

If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez keeps talking about the Green New Deal and her spooky ideas, we will be better off. We need to hear more and more about how deprivation and starvation will save our nation.

Here are a few of her solutions.

  • Stop using fossil fuels. Replace them with wind mills and solar cells. Too bad that the wind doesn’t blow all the time, and solar cells don’t work at night.
  • Get rid of energy inefficient automobiles and make everybody take the train. If a train is not available, like to Hawaii, you can walk or ride a bicycle.
  • Automation will displace millions of people from their menial jobs, like the toll takers on the New Jersey Turnpike. They should be happy because they don’t have to work anymore.
  • Give everybody free college, free medical care, guaranteed housing, guaranteed jobs, and guaranteed income. Good intentions for all.
  • Ocasio-Cortez plans to pay for this with new taxes based on the climate-change scare, and higher taxes for corporations and rich people.

Let us not denigrate her intelligence. After all, she graduated college cum laude. I am not sure what that says about Boston University, but it seems impossible that someone could go through four years of higher education and graduate enamored with the failed nineteenth century theory of socialism.

How many people have been raised out of poverty by socialism in the last fifty years? None. As an example, this century Venezueal is mastering the socialist process of starving an entire nation. Ocasio-Cortez doesn’t talk about Venezuela. That’s up to someone that understands the subject.

An article in The Economist relates that Capitalism raised over a billion people out of abject poverty in the twenty years from 1990 to 2010. This equates to 50% of the people in the world who were under that poverty line. Of course, those people are not rich yet, and are still in poverty according to US standards. The point is that there have been huge advances in the condition of people around the world, and capitalism is the driver of this prosperity.

We need to let Ms Ocasio-Cortez speak for the Democrat Party. The more she talks, the less sense the Democrat policies make.

Know When To Walk Away

donaldTrump
President Donald Trump

Kenny Rogers gave some good advice in his hit song, “The Gambler”. President Donald Trump risked reputation and political slams from Democrats by meeting with Kim Jong Un, premier of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea. If he got a good deal, he would be a hero.  It would be Nobel Prize time for the New York real estate developer. It didn’t happen that way.

Trump went to the negotiating table and wound up walking away. You would think that he would have tried to retreat into the background and wait for this to blow-over, but that’s not his style. The President faced the world in a live press conference almost immediately after the failed negotiations, and answered questions for most of an hour without hesitation, and assisted by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.

Donald Trump is an unusual president in that in solving problems he likes to engage with the primary parties. That’s how he made his fortunes, and that’s how he is governing. To him, personal trust is part of the foundation of making a good deal. Knowing and understanding the person on the other side of a situation is all important. That’s Trump, and he places great value on relationships.

We need to place these negotiations into a different perspective. This is not a normal diplomatic situation. For decades those efforts failed miserably.  Kim wanted to be on the world stage, and he rattled his nuclear missiles for years to make that dream come true .  Now, it is Trump’s job to make the little tyrant give up his nukes, or suffer deathly consequences.

Are we on the brink of a nuclear war? Not necessarily, but we need to make Kim think we are. To do that Trump has to talk tough, and get really mean on economic sanctions. Trump is no cream-puff like Obama.

The Bladensburg Cross Attracts Haters

Cross_Bladensburg
Bladensburg, MD Cross

The progressive haters are at it again. We see them on the attack within our childrens’ schools, our colleges and universities, and even our churches. There is a never ending attack on American culture, and specifically on Christianity. Left wing progressives attack the United States at the root of our beliefs, and scoff at the memorials of our revered heros and founders.

Hate is the real reason that the forty-foot tall cross memorial to WWI fallen is in danger of being brought down by a ruling of our Supreme Court. The case will be discussed, today, February 27, 2019.

Outside the little town of Bladensburg, Maryland is the forty-foot tall World War I memorial in the shape of a cross, called the Peace Cross. The cross was erected on July 13, 1925 on public property by the American Legion to memorialize the forty-nine men of Prince George’s County who gave their lives in the service of their country.

Enter the American Humanist Association and their Supreme Court suit to bring the cross down. On the front page of their website we read one reason for opposing the Peace Cross. “Most punditry surrounding the Bladensburg cross is a testament to how militarism has overtaken the American mindset.

The humanists are not only using the separation clause of the Constitution, but they are saying that our nation is so militarily oriented that we not only allow, but encourage religious symbols in military memorials. This is of course, garbage.

The First Amendment separation clause reads, “Congress shall make no law respecting an establishment of religion, or prohibiting the free exercise thereof…“.  A reading of this clause reveals that the government cannot establish a state religion as seen in England and many European countries. Erecting a memorial is not establishing a religion.

Their reason for opposing the monument is, pure and simple, they hate Christianity. They don’t hate Islam, Mormons, Hindus, or Bhudists. They hate Christians and everything they stand for.

As stated in their feature article, “Yet many are ready to throw constitutional principles aside merely because the Bladensburg case calls into question actions that were taken to honor the military.” That’s quite a dodge. Humanists hate the military, and they hate everything Christian or American. I don’t even think humanists like humans!

It will be interesting to see how our new Supreme Court handles this case. Even though the arguments will be heard tomorrow, it will probably take a while for a ruling to be announced.

What do you think will happen?

Update: I got this news bit from the web, today. Observers feel that the cross will be left alone. It is not clear to me when the official ruling will come out.

https://kvoa.com/news/2019/02/27/supreme-court-seems-open-to-allowing-40-foot-cross-on-public-land/