President Trump is using the Fed’s epidemiology models to speculate on when the epidemic reaches it’s peak, and that is in two weeks, April 13 – 15, or Easter Weekend. Even if this is true the problem is not over. The really big question is, when will President Trump open the nation for business?
Here’s the problem. If President Trump makes his decision too early, the trend of coronavirus infected people will do an about face and start increasing, again. If President Trump waits too long, our economy will be in a depression that some consider will be worse than the Great Depression of the early twentieth century. He is in a Catch-22 situation, or as they say, damned if he does and damned if he doesn’t.
The reality of the situation boils down to this: the President has to make a decision that results in the least overall damage to the population and the economy, and he knows that at some point the economy takes precedence. It’s that simple.
The person you want to make this decision is either a genius, or a really good river-boat type gambler. Geniuses make decision based on hard data. Gamblers make decisions based on their observation of chances to win.
President Trump is a proven winner, he’s smart, and would make a great James Garner-like river-boat gambler. I will go with the President on this one, even though I am in the high-risk group for death-by-virus.
Keep America Great!